{"id":204,"date":"2018-03-24T13:00:44","date_gmt":"2018-03-24T13:00:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/Blog\/?p=204"},"modified":"2018-03-24T13:00:44","modified_gmt":"2018-03-24T13:00:44","slug":"what-happened-with-the-last-noreaster","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/2018\/03\/24\/what-happened-with-the-last-noreaster\/","title":{"rendered":"What happened with the last noreaster?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"margin: 0px; color: #333333; font-family: 'Georgia',serif;\">So w<\/span><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Times New Roman;\">hat happened with the last nor&#8217;easter?\u00a0 We were all saying we would get several inches of snow and it would start Wednesday and get intense that night into Thursday morning.\u00a0 Well, that clearly did not happen.\u00a0 So what caused the change?<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"outline-color: transparent; outline-style: none; outline-width: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; cursor: text; word-spacing: 0px;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px; color: #333333; font-family: 'Georgia',serif;\">As late as the 12z GFS run, it was saying that the snow would start between noon and 8pm Wednesday afternoon. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"outline-color: transparent; outline-style: none; outline-width: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; cursor: text; word-spacing: 0px;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px; color: #333333; font-family: 'Georgia',serif;\">\u00a0<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"plot\" title=\"\" draggable=\"false\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tropicaltidbits.com\/analysis\/models\/gfs\/2018032112\/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_2.png\" width=\"514\" height=\"349\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"outline-color: transparent; outline-style: none; outline-width: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; cursor: text; word-spacing: 0px;\"><span style=\"color: #b00000; font-family: Times New Roman;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"outline-color: transparent; outline-style: none; outline-width: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; cursor: text; word-spacing: 0px;\"><span style=\"margin: 0px; color: #333333; font-family: 'Georgia',serif;\">The NAM was even giving the same time frame for when the snow would start.\u00a0 What the models did not pick up on though until right before it was supposed to start was how strong the dry air would be and how far south the dry air would come.\u00a0 The models had been indicating that the dry air would prevent much snow accumulation in northern new England, but that there would be good accumulation in much of Massachusetts. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"spotlight\" src=\"https:\/\/scontent.fbos1-2.fna.fbcdn.net\/v\/t1.0-9\/29512634_1663133583781006_1225670661393874944_n.png?_nc_cat=0&amp;oh=88c0327dfccde457535ea7fc00024dee&amp;oe=5B3F1C7E\" alt=\"No automatic alt text available.\" width=\"482\" height=\"361\" aria-busy=\"true\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"margin: 0px; color: #333333; font-family: 'Georgia',serif;\">This map showed is from the national weather service where they were saying that the snow would start around 6pm in Lowell.\u00a0 However, the snow did not actually start until closer to midnight.\u00a0 This definitely was an impact because the heaviest was expected from 6 to midnight, so by the time the snow reached here, it was not heavy as long. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"spotlight\" src=\"https:\/\/scontent.fbos1-2.fna.fbcdn.net\/v\/t1.0-9\/29511450_1717424844985072_7403052201163096064_n.jpg?_nc_cat=0&amp;oh=bd8ed49f106fa73b6be621ec2f106327&amp;oe=5B435F8C\" alt=\"Image may contain: text\" width=\"434\" height=\"696\" aria-busy=\"true\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">This image shows the radar for 8:02pm and you can see that right over Lowell there\u2019s no snow around Lowell and the precipitation around are light, caused by the dry air.\u00a0 When the snow did pick up, it was after sunrise Thursday, and as a result the sun quickly melted the snow.\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">What also impacted the snow totals was the storm track.\u00a0 The storm went more south than what was predicted.\u00a0 There is a 40\/70 mark where if a nor\u2019easter goes over the point it\u2019ll be a big storm.\u00a0 With it being more south, the heaviest of the snow went to our south. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-902978\" title=\"NorEaster 4 A Forecast Bust   So What Happened?\" src=\"https:\/\/cbsboston.files.wordpress.com\/2018\/03\/track.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 420px) 100vw, 420px\" alt=\"track NorEaster 4 A Forecast Bust   So What Happened?\" width=\"420\" height=\"236\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Therefore the storm was a bust, but there were many factors as to why.\u00a0 Hopefully for the next storm will do what it&#8217;s forecasted to do so we can get more snow.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So what happened with the last nor&#8217;easter?\u00a0 We were all saying we would get several inches of snow and it would start Wednesday and get intense that night into Thursday morning.\u00a0 Well, that clearly did not happen.\u00a0 So what caused the change? As late as the 12z GFS run, it was saying that the snow [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,11,13,15,16,21,22,25,26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cold","category-forecasting","category-lesson","category-models","category-new-england","category-snow","category-storm","category-weather","category-winter"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=204"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/204\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/storm.uml.edu\/~metweb\/newBlog\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}